Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.670326 3.904788 4.156817 4.449736 4.783254 5.154199 5.602321
2025-05-18 3.315999 3.632662 3.992899 4.439565 4.988320 5.654682 6.549401
2025-05-25 2.995776 3.347795 3.764352 4.305844 5.011386 5.932746 7.293610
2025-06-01 2.785342 3.163862 3.626772 4.253716 5.115473 6.322649 8.292986
2025-06-08 2.621798 3.017963 3.515832 4.214176 5.220913 6.727588 9.451739
2025-06-15 2.510147 2.925051 3.459896 4.235806 5.408900 7.291509 11.122633
2025-06-22 2.377911 2.793891 3.339480 4.149780 5.417622 7.562750 12.376421
2025-06-29 2.245418 2.653013 3.193965 4.010595 5.319923 7.623457 13.209245
2025-07-06 2.145468 2.549268 3.091659 3.924340 5.294102 7.808321 14.479569
2025-07-13 2.122112 2.546720 3.129366 4.051522 5.642918 8.817423 19.090558
2025-07-20 2.082774 2.519132 3.128141 4.116187 5.891479 9.707136 24.943004
2025-07-27 2.067148 2.523042 3.172100 4.256873 6.306249 11.171530 38.796093
2025-08-03 2.019633 2.484192 3.157003 4.311270 6.594361 12.575055 68.217649
2025-08-10 1.955513 2.418622 3.097628 4.285038 6.716586 13.615749 136.056222
2025-08-17 1.871878 2.320937 2.983019 4.151023 6.581917 13.754530 228.824488
2025-08-24 1.812413 2.256169 2.916317 4.097610 6.622893 14.594199 23961.946492
2025-08-31 1.760562 2.200259 2.860209 4.058156 6.690415 15.631227 NaN
2025-09-07 1.724570 2.166206 2.836731 4.076905 6.904575 17.582327 NaN
2025-09-14 1.671503 2.104202 2.764488 3.995946 6.851290 18.200919 NaN
2025-09-21 1.612165 2.030698 2.670226 3.865630 6.649958 17.875594 NaN
2025-09-28 1.565763 1.975372 2.603538 3.784793 6.570261 18.252735 NaN
2025-10-05 1.559540 1.980817 2.636974 3.903507 7.058448 23.109364 NaN
2025-10-12 1.542803 1.969262 2.641145 3.963774 7.402968 28.265625 NaN